Meditation and Prayer for the Water of Japan
On March 31 2011, a large number of people accepted an invitation from Masura Emoto to join in a focused Prayer for the Water of Japan. The invitation was to "Please join us ~ EVERY DAY at 12pm, noon ~ Your Local Time A Global Event - Special Water Ceremony ~ For the Water Please Read Dr Emoto's Daily Message and Specific Prayer To The Water With Love and Gratitude."
The plan asked for people to engage this meditation each day from March 31 to April 10, but the GCP event was set just for the 31st, as a sample that could represent the long event.
Many people suggested this for a GCP analysis, and it is somewhat similar to a number of other mass meditations we have monitored. Since the expectation was for people to pray or meditate at noon in their local time zone, it might be appropriate to treat it by looking at the compounding of effects close to noon calculated for each time zone. But for simplicity, I set the hypothesis to assess the full 24 hour day of the 31st. I hope later to have a chance to explore the epoch version.
The result is Chisquare 86198.139 on 86400 df, for p = 0.686 and Z = -0.485.
It is important to keep in mind that we have only a tiny statistical effect, so that it is always hard to distinguish signal from noise. This means that every "success" might be largely driven by chance, and every "null" might include a real signal overwhelmed by noise. In the long run, a real effect can be identified only by patiently accumulating replications of similar analyses.